Ligue 2 · Matchweek 7
Annecy FC
ANN
Dijon
DIJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Annecy FC66%
Draw19%
Dijon16%
Expected goals
2.44 – 1.18
Over 2.5
69%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.6%
- 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession47%
34%Territory31%
21%From set plays16%
0.12Chance quality0.15
4.0%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Annecy FC, 3 for Dijon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 24 of 54 matches, not the full season.