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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24

Strasbourg

STR

Angers

ANG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Strasbourg61%
Draw22%
Angers17%

Expected goals

1.94 – 0.96

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–010.3%
  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–110.0%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Strasbourg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession42%
35%Territory35%
31%From set plays2%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Strasbourg, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.