Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
Paris FC
PAR
Lorient
LOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paris FC37%
Draw30%
Lorient33%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.14
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–111.0%
- 0–011.0%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession47%
31%Territory36%
4%From set plays42%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paris FC, 2 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.