Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
Le Mans
LEM
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans26%
Draw23%
Rennes51%
Expected goals
1.44 – 2.01
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–16.9%
- 2–26.7%
- 2–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
30%Territory36%
47%From set plays12%
0.09Chance quality0.18
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.