Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
Le Havre
LEH
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre24%
Draw24%
Lens52%
Expected goals
1.20 – 1.81
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.7%
- 0–19.5%
- 0–27.9%
- 2–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lens will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
43%Possession51%
38%Territory29%
25%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.