Ligue 1 · Matchweek 24
Auxerre
AUX
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auxerre16%
Draw20%
PSG64%
Expected goals
1.01 – 2.16
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.9%
- 0–29.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–19.2%
- 1–37.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
48%Possession71%
42%Territory48%
16%From set plays16%
0.13Chance quality0.16
5.6%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auxerre, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auxerre
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.