Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23
Monaco
MON
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco35%
Draw29%
Lyon36%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.27
Over 2.5
45%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.9%
- 0–110.6%
- 1–010.3%
- 0–09.4%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Lyon will not mind.
59%Possession48%
49%Territory40%
14%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.13
3.2%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.