Ligue 1 · Matchweek 23
Angers
ANG
Auxerre
AUX
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers33%
Draw29%
Auxerre38%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.28
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–09.7%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession48%
35%Territory42%
2%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Auxerre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auxerre
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.