Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG58%
Draw23%
Lens19%
Expected goals
1.91 – 1.04
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.4%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.4%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Lens will not mind.
71%Possession51%
48%Territory29%
16%From set plays12%
0.16Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.