Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Troyes
TRO
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes40%
Draw28%
Nice32%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.24
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–19.1%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
39%Possession50%
41%Territory34%
35%From set plays26%
0.10Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.