Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Marseille
OM
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille47%
Draw21%
Rennes32%
Expected goals
2.36 – 1.98
Over 2.5
79%
Both to score
78%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.3%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–16.5%
- 1–26.0%
- 3–25.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession49%
45%Territory36%
35%From set plays12%
0.12Chance quality0.18
4.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marseille, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.