Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Lorient
LOR
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient57%
Draw28%
Angers16%
Expected goals
1.48 – 0.67
Over 2.5
36%
Both to score
39%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–017.7%
- 0–012.7%
- 2–012.3%
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession42%
36%Territory35%
42%From set plays2%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.5%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lorient, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.