Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Le Mans
LEM
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans28%
Draw26%
Paris FC46%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.58
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.1%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.5%
- 0–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession47%
30%Territory31%
47%From set plays4%
0.09Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.