Ligue 1 · Matchweek 22
Brest
BRS
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest41%
Draw27%
Monaco32%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.26
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 0–07.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession59%
24%Territory49%
20%From set plays14%
0.14Chance quality0.07
7.1%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brest, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.