Ligue 1 · Matchweek 21
Angers
ANG
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers26%
Draw27%
Paris FC47%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.55
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.3%
- 0–27.9%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession47%
35%Territory31%
2%From set plays4%
0.11Chance quality0.14
7.1%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.