Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Toulouse
TFC
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Toulouse40%
Draw26%
Monaco34%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.41
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toulouse will have the ball; Monaco will not mind.
54%Possession41%
43%Territory42%
20%From set plays16%
0.15Chance quality0.12
3.8%Directness6.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Toulouse, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Toulouse
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.