Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Marseille
OM
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille64%
Draw21%
Angers16%
Expected goals
2.16 – 1.03
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.6%
- 1–09.5%
- 1–19.2%
- 3–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
52%Possession42%
45%Territory35%
35%From set plays2%
0.12Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marseille, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.