Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Marseille
OM
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille57%
Draw23%
Angers20%
Expected goals
1.90 – 1.08
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
59%Possession46%
47%Territory33%
7%From set plays34%
0.10Chance quality0.09
3.6%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marseille, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.