Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Lorient
LOR
Le Havre
LEH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient56%
Draw25%
Le Havre19%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.91
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.1%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lorient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession43%
37%Territory38%
45%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lorient
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.