Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Lille
LIL
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lille62%
Draw23%
Nice16%
Expected goals
1.91 – 0.88
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 2–011.1%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 0–06.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Lille will not mind.
45%Possession61%
31%Territory39%
4%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.09
4.6%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lille, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.