Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Le Mans
LEM
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans12%
Draw19%
PSG69%
Expected goals
0.87 – 2.26
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.2%
- 0–110.4%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.5%
- 0–38.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Le Mans will not mind.
52%Possession71%
30%Territory48%
47%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.