Ligue 1 · Matchweek 20
Auxerre
AUX
Strasbourg
STR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auxerre31%
Draw25%
Strasbourg44%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.72
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 2–17.3%
- 2–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Strasbourg will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
42%Possession51%
43%Territory36%
25%From set plays10%
0.11Chance quality0.12
6.2%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auxerre, 3 for Strasbourg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.