Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
Strasbourg
STR
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Strasbourg45%
Draw24%
Paris FC30%
Expected goals
1.78 – 1.44
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 1–07.6%
- 1–27.2%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Strasbourg get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession47%
35%Territory31%
31%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.14
5.0%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Strasbourg, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.