Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
Rennes
REN
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes38%
Draw25%
Lyon37%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.64
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–27.0%
- 1–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession48%
36%Territory40%
12%From set plays24%
0.18Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.