Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
Nice
NIC
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice36%
Draw26%
Brest38%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.50
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–28.4%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–18.1%
- 1–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession42%
34%Territory24%
26%From set plays20%
0.13Chance quality0.14
5.6%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 2 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.