Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
Nice
NIC
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice30%
Draw26%
Brest43%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.57
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–29.1%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Brest will not mind.
61%Possession45%
39%Territory35%
26%From set plays33%
0.09Chance quality0.11
3.9%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.