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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19

Lens

RCL

Angers

ANG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lens65%
Draw22%
Angers13%

Expected goals

1.87 – 0.74

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

45%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.3%
  • 2–012.7%
  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lens will have the ball; Angers will not mind.

51%Possession42%
29%Territory35%
12%From set plays2%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lens, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Lens

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.