Ligue 1 · Matchweek 19
Auxerre
AUX
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Auxerre33%
Draw27%
Monaco40%
Expected goals
1.30 – 1.43
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–19.7%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
48%Possession59%
42%Territory49%
16%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.6%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Auxerre, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auxerre
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.