Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Lyon
OL
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lyon44%
Draw28%
Lille28%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.11
Over 2.5
46%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–011.7%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lyon will have the ball; Lille will not mind.
55%Possession45%
38%Territory31%
22%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.13
6.3%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyon, 3 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.