Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Le Mans
LEM
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans35%
Draw27%
Nice38%
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.45
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession50%
30%Territory34%
47%From set plays26%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.