Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Le Mans
LEM
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans50%
Draw24%
Nice26%
Expected goals
1.81 – 1.27
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–07.4%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Le Mans will not mind.
43%Possession61%
29%Territory39%
6%From set plays26%
0.21Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.