Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Brest
BRS
Strasbourg
STR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brest42%
Draw26%
Strasbourg33%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.40
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession48%
24%Territory35%
20%From set plays31%
0.14Chance quality0.10
7.1%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Brest, 3 for Strasbourg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.