Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Angers
ANG
Le Havre
LEH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers37%
Draw31%
Le Havre32%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.08
Over 2.5
39%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 1–012.5%
- 0–011.9%
- 0–111.3%
- 2–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession48%
33%Territory39%
34%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.09
6.9%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Havre
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.