Ligue 1 · Matchweek 18
Angers
ANG
Le Havre
LEH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers37%
Draw27%
Le Havre36%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.40
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–08.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Havre get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
42%Possession43%
35%Territory38%
2%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.