Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Troyes
TRO
Monaco
MON
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes31%
Draw29%
Monaco40%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.30
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.7%
- 0–010.1%
- 1–010.1%
- 1–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
39%Possession59%
41%Territory49%
35%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.07
8.3%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Monaco. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.