Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Auxerre
AUX
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PSG75%
Draw16%
Auxerre9%
Expected goals
2.57 – 0.85
Over 2.5
66%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-1.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 3–09.1%
- 1–09.0%
- 3–17.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Auxerre will not mind.
71%Possession48%
48%Territory42%
16%From set plays16%
0.16Chance quality0.13
4.5%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PSG, 3 for Auxerre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Auxerre
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.