Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Lorient
LOR
Marseille
OM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lorient38%
Draw26%
Marseille37%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.53
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.6%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Lorient will not mind.
50%Possession59%
33%Territory47%
5%From set plays7%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lorient, 3 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.