Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Lille
LIL
Paris FC
PAR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lille52%
Draw26%
Paris FC22%
Expected goals
1.62 – 0.99
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.5%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.3%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Lille will have the ball; Paris FC will not mind.
55%Possession47%
36%Territory31%
36%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.14
4.5%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lille, 3 for Paris FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.