Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Le Mans
LEM
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans42%
Draw29%
Angers28%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.05
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.0%
- 1–012.7%
- 0–010.6%
- 0–19.8%
- 2–18.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
52%Possession42%
30%Territory35%
47%From set plays2%
0.09Chance quality0.11
4.8%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.