Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Le Mans
LEM
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans48%
Draw26%
Angers27%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.21
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Angers get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession46%
29%Territory33%
6%From set plays34%
0.21Chance quality0.09
7.4%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.