Ligue 1 · Matchweek 17
Le Havre
LEH
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Havre32%
Draw26%
Rennes42%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.56
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.0%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rennes will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
48%Possession56%
39%Territory46%
21%From set plays11%
0.09Chance quality0.11
7.3%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Havre, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Havre
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.