Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Strasbourg
STR
Le Mans
LEM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Strasbourg60%
Draw22%
Le Mans18%
Expected goals
1.99 – 1.03
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.3%
- 1–110.1%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.6%
- 3–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession52%
35%Territory30%
31%From set plays47%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Strasbourg, 3 for Le Mans. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.