Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Rennes
REN
Lens
RCL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Rennes37%
Draw24%
Lens38%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.72
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.0%
- 2–27.1%
- 0–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
36%Territory29%
12%From set plays12%
0.18Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Rennes, 3 for Lens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.