Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Paris FC
PAR
Toulouse
TFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Paris FC37%
Draw28%
Toulouse35%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.30
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–09.9%
- 0–19.6%
- 0–08.4%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toulouse will have the ball; Paris FC will not mind.
47%Possession55%
31%Territory39%
4%From set plays4%
0.14Chance quality0.13
3.3%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Paris FC, 3 for Toulouse. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Paris FC
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.