Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Nice
NIC
Le Havre
LEH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nice37%
Draw30%
Le Havre34%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.17
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.3%
- 0–110.7%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Le Havre will not mind.
61%Possession48%
39%Territory39%
26%From set plays21%
0.09Chance quality0.09
3.9%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nice, 3 for Le Havre. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.