Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Monaco
MON
Brest
BRS
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco43%
Draw27%
Brest30%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.22
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.1%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession42%
49%Territory24%
14%From set plays20%
0.07Chance quality0.14
3.2%Directness7.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 2 for Brest. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Brest
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.