Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Marseille
OM
Lille
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Marseille37%
Draw26%
Lille37%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.52
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–07.7%
- 0–17.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Marseille will have the ball; Lille will not mind.
59%Possession45%
47%Territory31%
7%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.6%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Marseille, 3 for Lille. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.