Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16

Lyon

OL

Lorient

LOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lyon44%
Draw31%
Lorient25%

Expected goals

1.25 – 0.88

Over 2.5

36%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.1%
  • 0–013.2%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 2–08.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Lorient get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession49%
40%Territory38%
24%From set plays44%
0.13Chance quality0.12
2.8%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lyon, 3 for Lorient. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.