Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Angers
ANG
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers17%
Draw24%
PSG60%
Expected goals
0.88 – 1.81
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–112.8%
- 0–210.9%
- 1–110.8%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
46%Possession67%
33%Territory46%
34%From set plays25%
0.09Chance quality0.08
6.9%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.