Ligue 1 · Matchweek 16
Angers
ANG
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Angers11%
Draw19%
PSG70%
Expected goals
0.81 – 2.22
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
50%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–212.0%
- 0–111.3%
- 1–29.7%
- 1–18.6%
- 0–38.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
42%Possession71%
35%Territory48%
2%From set plays16%
0.11Chance quality0.16
7.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Angers, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.