Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Lens
RCL
Paris Saint-Germain
PSG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lens28%
Draw26%
PSG45%
Expected goals
1.24 – 1.60
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–19.8%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.4%
- 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
PSG will have the ball; Lens will not mind.
51%Possession71%
29%Territory48%
12%From set plays16%
0.09Chance quality0.16
4.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Lens, 3 for PSG. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lens
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.