Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Troyes
TRO
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes31%
Draw23%
Rennes46%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.93
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.4%
- 1–28.8%
- 2–17.0%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rennes will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
38%Possession56%
46%Territory46%
40%From set plays11%
0.12Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.