Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Troyes
TRO
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Troyes31%
Draw25%
Rennes44%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.74
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–17.4%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Rennes will have the ball; Troyes will not mind.
39%Possession49%
41%Territory36%
35%From set plays12%
0.10Chance quality0.18
8.3%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Troyes, 3 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.