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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15

Toulouse

TFC

Angers

ANG

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Toulouse60%
Draw25%
Angers15%

Expected goals

1.68 – 0.74

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

43%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.4%
  • 2–012.3%
  • 1–110.9%
  • 0–09.7%
  • 2–19.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Toulouse will have the ball; Angers will not mind.

55%Possession42%
39%Territory35%
4%From set plays2%
0.13Chance quality0.11
3.0%Directness7.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Toulouse, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.