Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Toulouse
TFC
Angers
ANG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Toulouse53%
Draw26%
Angers21%
Expected goals
1.66 – 0.99
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.3%
- 1–111.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–09.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Toulouse will have the ball; Angers will not mind.
54%Possession46%
43%Territory33%
20%From set plays34%
0.15Chance quality0.09
3.8%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Toulouse, 3 for Angers. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Toulouse
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.