Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Monaco
MON
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco52%
Draw24%
Nice24%
Expected goals
1.83 – 1.20
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–07.9%
- 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Monaco will have the ball; Nice will not mind.
59%Possession50%
49%Territory34%
14%From set plays26%
0.07Chance quality0.13
3.2%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 20 of 81 matches, not the full season.