Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Monaco
MON
Nice
NIC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco59%
Draw23%
Nice18%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.02
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–010.6%
- 1–110.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.7%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nice will have the ball; Monaco will not mind.
41%Possession61%
42%Territory39%
16%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Monaco, 3 for Nice. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.