Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15
Le Mans
LEM
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Le Mans22%
Draw27%
Lyon51%
Expected goals
0.93 – 1.54
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 0–113.5%
- 1–112.1%
- 0–29.6%
- 0–09.5%
- 1–29.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Le Mans get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession48%
30%Territory40%
47%From set plays24%
0.09Chance quality0.13
4.8%Directness2.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Le Mans, 3 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Le Mans
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 80 matches, not the full season.