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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence
Live2015–2016

Ligue 1 · Matchweek 15

Brest

BRS

Marseille

OM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Brest42%
Draw24%
Marseille34%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.59

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

67%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Marseille will have the ball; Brest will not mind.

45%Possession59%
35%Territory47%
33%From set plays7%
0.11Chance quality0.10
8.3%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brest, 3 for Marseille. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 25 of 36 matches, not the full season.